Australian KO blow flattens News revenue

WRITE-DOWNS at News Corporation’s Australian newspapers and a revenue slump forced the media company into a $US1.6 billion ($A1.5 billion) loss for the three months to June 30, although underlying earnings met analysts’ expectations.
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Excluding the charges, annual net profit fell to $US1.2 billion, from $US2.7 billion a year earlier. Earnings before interest and tax climbed 13 per cent to $US5.6 billion but are expected to rise more slowly this financial year – in the ”high single- to low double-digit range”, the company said.

Chief operating officer Chase Carey said advertising growth would continue to stagnate, growing about 1 per cent in the US.

In preparation for the company’s split into separate publishing and entertainment divisions next year, the group announced write-offs of $US2.8 billion, ”most significantly” related to the Australian operations. It surprised the market with a fall in fourth-quarter revenue to $US8.37 billion, although one analyst attributed most of the fall to the rising US dollar. The decision to slash the value of its Australian assets followed a re-examination of its growth assumptions for newspaper publishing, the company said.

Operating income at its publishing division – which includes newspapers in Britain, Australia and the US, as well as the Dow Jones newswire – almost halved in the fourth quarter, dropping $US131 million to $US139 million.

Full-year operating income for the publishing division fell $US392 million, due to falls in advertising revenue at its Australian newspapers, the integrated marketing services business and its newspapers in Britain, as well as the absence of contributions from the closure of the News of the World in the UK, the company said.

Mr Carey told analysts that after a management overhaul at its Australian businesses, there would be more significant restructuring of the local arm, which would weigh on profits this financial year.

Chairman Rupert Murdoch said he was proud of the company’s growth, saying it had ”continued to innovate, grow and consistently adapt to the rapidly changing media industry landscape”.

Citi analyst Justin Diddams told clients that the earning ”miss” would be disappointing for investors. But he said it was worth noting that the company still hit its 2011-12 guidance and delivered a robust guidance outlook for next year. ”And management remains committed to the share repurchase program,” he said.

Cable networks remained the powerhouse of the group, contributing $US792 million in operating income for the quarter, up 26 per cent, supported by a 15 per cent increase in revenue. Television was the next largest contributor but its performance was dampened by poor ratings on key shows such as American Idol, and an advertising decline.

News Corp shares slipped 73¢, or 3.2 per cent, closing at $US21.88.

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World-beaters start with a winning state of mind

A Letter From London 2012
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DEAR Readers,

In part this is a story about Gina Rinehart, but before that, the Olympics.

As the Olympic closing ceremony approaches, it’s plain that there will be ongoing media coverage about how Australia performed. It will be intense and there will be nowhere to hide as the questions are asked about how our athletes can better use their capacities to perform world-beating physical feats.

We are a complex species and it’s plainly not just about who has the biggest muscles.

It’s about body and mind. Having the will to win is not quite the same as having the body to win.

Plainly the Australian Olympic team needs a much better understanding of this complex mind-body relationship and the first nation to understand as much about preparing the mind as the body will have dramatic success – in all things.

All this was uppermost in my mind earlier this week as I shot back from the UK briefly to take up the chairmanship of the newly expanded Florey Institute – the second-biggest mental health research institute in the world.

One in five Australians suffer from mental health and brain problems. It is one of our greatest tragedies – yet at the same time one of our greatest opportunities, with the coming together of the world-leading mind and brain institutes of Melbourne and Monash universities to meet the most important challenge of the 21st century – how the brain really works. The opportunities are even greater because of the explosion in the middle class of Asia, already known for its rapidly growing consumer market but lesser known for the proliferation of some of the side effects of wealth – obesity, depression, addictions and degenerative brain disease that often accompanies longevity.

The world of the Florey is set to have worldwide influence and benefit. It deals with many issues, but at the top of the list are near breakthroughs in Alzheimer’s, epilepsy and addictions. Solutions to these problems will transform humankind.

The Florey is totally committed to being world’s best in this field and my trip home between the opening and closing ceremonies made me wonder if anyone in our Olympic organisation knows as much about tuning minds for success as they know about tuning the bodies.

About 2500 years ago, Buddha observed, ”What the mind thinks, we become.” It’s true for everything, including business. And the Florey is here to take it a whole lot further.

Gina Rinehart’s fortune was built as a result of a light plane trip by her father, Lang Hancock. Adele Ferguson brilliantly tells the story in her riveting unauthorised biography. In 1952, Lang Hancock was flying from their home in the Nunyerry to Perth when bad weather forced him to drop to 1000 feet.

Flying just above the ranges in heavy rain, he saw a glistening in the rock faces that can only be identified at a distance in a torrent. It was one of the greatest iron ore deposits on earth.

Hancock had the mind of a winner and that mind in turn trained his daughter brilliantly in persistence and refusal to be defeated. In Gina’s case, she wants gold. Lots of it.

Our Olympians and their trainers would do well to develop these qualities to a much higher level.

Our opportunity to achieve international success in everything we do depends, more than anything else, on having a winner’s mind.

Harold Mitchell is an executive director of Aegis.

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Thodey ahead in 4G race

‘The beefed-up 4G push could now entrench Telstra’s gains.’TELSTRA chief executive David Thodey unveiled an important tactical move when he announced the group’s 5.4 per cent rise in June-year profit to $3.4 billion yesterday. He is going to divert $400 million that would have fallen to this year’s profit line and invest it in growth.
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Risk-shy investors who have piled into Telstra’s high-yielding shares and helped push them from $2.61 in March last year to a high of $4.07 on Monday sold yesterday as Thodey redeployed Telstra cash and held off on dividend increases and capital returns. The shares closed 9¢ or 2.3 per cent lower, at $3.88. This is the second time Thodey has forsaken short-term profits in pursuit of a big reward since he took over in 2009, however, and the latest move should succeed.

Telstra’s capital expenditure increased by 5.3 per cent to $3.6 million in the year to June, and included $800 million of mobile network spending. The rollout of Telstra’s high-speed 4G mobile service was a new ingredient in the mobile budget. Telstra was the first Australian

telco to launch 4G in September last year, and already has 40 per cent of Australia’s population covered. Earlier this week, Thodey won the board’s backing to put his foot on the 4G accelerator and, potentially, on his competitors’ necks.

The plan he successfully presented to the board calls for Telstra to boost mobile network spending this year by another $400 million to $1.2 billion and to use the funds to ramp up the 4G rollout.

Thodey said yesterday that he wanted to maintain Telstra’s ”network advantage” but that’s just a polite description of a much more brutal strategy.

Telstra has installed more than 1000 4G base stations and from a flat start last September has signed up 375,000 customers on 4G mobile and wireless broadband packages. The take-up is greater than Thodey and his executives predicted and it is accelerating: subscriber numbers have doubled since May.

Thodey’s pitch to the board was that the group had an opportunity to turn its first-mover advantage in a service that will become ubiquitous into something much more formidable.

The board agreed with the chief executive and it’s a very important tactical call, in two ways. Firstly, it could be the kind of game changer for Telstra that the construction of the NextG network by Thodey’s predecessor, Sol Trujillo was. Secondly, it underlines that while Telstra is a high-cash-flow, high-dividend-yield venue for investors, under Thodey it will also allocate funds to growth gopportunities: budgets can and are being significantly adjusted when opportunity knocks.

The NextG network that Trujillo built is the most efficient and ubiquitous 3G network in this market and after Thodey harvested $1 billion of potential gross earnings and used it to structurally lower Telstra’s mobile plan prices in the second half of 2010, its latent power was unleashed. The telco signed up 1.6 million new mobile customers in the year to June, and has secured more than 3 million customers in the past two years.

Mobile services revenue rose by 8.5 per cent or $679 million to $8.7 billion in the year to June just completed, and mobile profit margins actually widened, from 33¢ of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation per dollar of sales to 36¢.

Mobile services are sold by several of Telstra’s business units, and mobile profits are not separately detailed. The margin and sales expansion points to an outstanding 21 per cent rise in mobile-related EBITDA in the June year, however, from $2.6 billion to $3.1 billion. That’s almost a third of Telstra’s earnings.

Vodafone’s well-documented coverage debacle and market share losses in this country helped, but Telstra’s mobiles momentum is mainly attributable to the strength of the network that Thodey inherited, and his decision to invest $1 billion in lower mobile prices.

The beefed-up 4G push could now entrench Telstra’s gains. Smartphone and mobile broadband users are going to progressively convert to the faster 4G service, and the share of smartphones in the mobile market will also inexorably rise, from the current level of about 50 per cent.

Thodey is being cautious because early adopters of new technology also tend to be the heaviest users, but he is moving to recreate leadership in a market that is inherently more profitable than the 3G one it is overtaking: 4G’s forte is download speed, and it drives revenue per user higher.

The move makes Telstra a slightly riskier conveyance: Telstra will, for example, temporarily go about 1 percentage point above its capex-to-sales target of 14 per cent while the extra money is spent.

It is still a strong yield play with its 28¢ a share annual payout, however, and the odds are good that Thodey’s accelerated spending will open up a 4G lead that is unassailable.

Telstra’s competitors will get a healthy 4G market share too, but Telstra’s lead in the 3G market is on course to be successfully transferred and, perhaps, expanded.

The Maiden family owns Telstra shares.

[email protected]南京夜网.au

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Telstra has future profit down to a T

TELSTRA chief David Thodey is betting billions of dollars on high-tech mobile and broadband infrastructure to fast-track earnings and cement Telstra’s dominance in the telco sector.
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Mr Thodey has earmarked $1.2 billion to build more high-speed and high-capacity 4G technology around Australia, and is speeding construction of an inter-city fibre-optic network that will be leased to NBN Co.

And that new profit stream appeared in yesterday’s full-year results: Telstra received $67 million in leasing payments from NBN Co during 2011-12. The payments will increase to hundreds of millions of dollars as soon as Telstra finishes building the inter-city network. It will spend an extra $100 million to get the transit network built within two years rather than three. Stage one is completed.

Yesterday Mr Thodey revealed that another gamble was already paying off – a decision made in 2010 to spend $1 billion increasing productivity, improving Telstra’s woeful customer service, and to steal market share from other telcos, particularly in mobile.

Telstra has since added 3 million mobile services to its network, and gained productivity benefits of $1.1 billion. It own metrics showed customer satisfaction was improving, Mr Thodey said.

Post-tax profit increased by 5.4 per cent to $3.4 billion in 2011-12, from $3.2 billion the previous year, despite a modest 1.1 per cent increase in revenue to $25.4 billion.

Management expects low single-digit growth in revenue and earnings in 2012-13. Shareholders will receive a final dividend of 14¢, fully franked, on September 21 for a total of 28¢. Next year’s dividend will also be 28¢ fully franked.

There are no plans for a share buyback or special dividends. Mr Thodey said it was prudent to keep dividends stable because global economic conditions were uncertain and money was needed for infrastructure investment.

Telstra’s results met analysts’ expectations, but the share price tumbled 11¢ during trading before closing at a two-week low of $3.88, down 9¢ from Wednesday’s close.

Morningstar’s head of research, Peter Warnes, said foreign investors probably sold a lot of shares to lock in currency gains, with the Australian dollar trading close to $US1.06. About 30 per cent of Telstra’s shares are held by foreign investors.

”Look at the currency. These guys were probably buying at $3.50, substantially lower than where it is now at a 52-week high of $4.09. That is a 14 per cent gain on the share, and add in the currency – they probably have a 20 to 25 per cent gain,” he said, adding that overseas investors got no benefit from franking credits.

The results also revealed that the number of active telephone lines had dropped below 7 million for the first time, to 6.8 million, and average monthly revenue from each account dropped below $50 for the first time, to $48.88.

But somehow Telstra managed to increase the profit margin on its fixed telephone network to 60 per cent. Mr Thodey put this down to ”running a more efficient business”.

Households without a telephone line increased from 12 to 14 per cent, but this figure does not include households with a fixed broadband connection.

Deutsche Bank analyst Andrew Anagnostellis said: ”The earnings divergence between ‘good Telstra’ (mobiles were up 8.5 per cent and network applications and services were up 10.5 per cent) and ‘bad Telstra’ (copper network was down 10 per cent and Sensis and advertising down 16.1 per cent) was more extreme this year.”

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One-stop model assists Webjet

ONLINE travel booking service Webjet says the next year will be difficult for the travel industry as a strong dollar fails to stimulate demand and consumers become more cautious.
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Webjet has been able to largely escape a slowdown in demand, which it attributes to consumers preferring the one-stop shop that its online service provides.

The company yesterday posted a 24 per cent rise in annual net profit to $13.6 million, despite what it has described as a flat travel market.

Webjet’s managing director, John Guscic, said there had been a noticeable slowdown in demand across the entire industry, citing growth of just 0.8 per cent in the international market in May, compared with a 5 per cent rise in the same month last year.

”The market has clearly slowed down over the last six months,” he said. ”The Australian consumer is just generally more cautious. It’s no different to all the other retail groups who have spoken about the consumer behaviour.”

Mr Guscic said the strong Australian dollar was not stimulating demand for travel like it had a year ago. ”The next 12 months will continue to be tough for the airline and travel industries,” he said.

Webjet shares rose 4 per cent to $3.65 yesterday following the release of its full-year profit, which was slightly better than its guidance. Revenue rose 30 per cent to $59 million.

The company has not given guidance for this financial year but highlighted that it boosted total transaction value – the price at which travel products and services were sold – by about 14 per cent in July.

Webjet will pay a final dividend of 7¢ a share on October 5, taking the payout for the year to 13¢. It compares with a payout of 11¢ a share in 2010-11.

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Increase in digital sales allays decline in newspapers

Industry group The Newspaper Works said the tough economy and structural changes in publishers’ businesses had contributed to the decline in circulation.AUSTRALIA’S newspapers have again recorded disappointing circulation and readership figures, with overall weekday circulation down by 5.7 per cent year-on-year. But digital sales have provided some positive news, with many publications recording double-digit growth.
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Fairfax, which is continuing its strategy of stripping out unprofitable newspaper sales, has recorded the biggest falls in print. According to the Audit Bureaux of Australia, weekday circulation of The Age is down 14 per cent year-on-year, with Saturday down 13.2 per cent.

The Age’s main competitor, the Herald Sun, is down 6.4 per cent on Saturdays and 5 per cent during the week. Readership figures echo the decline, with The Age’s weekly readership down 13.6 per cent, according to Roy Morgan Research.

But digital circulation figures showed strong growth for Fairfax titles, with The Age experiencing huge lifts in digital sales, growing 81 per cent, quarter-on-quarter, across all editions and the weekday Age enjoying 127 per cent growth quarter-on-quarter.

Industry group The Newspaper Works said the tough economy and structural changes in publishers’ businesses had contributed to the declining circulation. Chief executive Tony Hale said while there were 18.4 million copies of newspapers sold each week, the circulation data was only a partial measurement of the audience of newspapers, with publishers implementing digital strategies to capture audiences in print, online, on mobiles and tablets.

Chief executive of Fairfax’s Metro Media business, Jack Matthews, said Fairfax’s expansion of its news brands across platforms was validated by the latest figures. ”We are right to be focusing on the digital and mobile expansion of all of our mastheads so we can capture as much of that shift as possible. This is industry-wide and it requires the kind of fundamental overhaul … which we have embarked on at The Age and The SMH. We’re doing so to make print sustainable for the future and we’re doing so from the best possible position as shown in the first total masthead readership results.”

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Foxtel subscriber growth eases but earnings on rise

SUBSCRIBER growth at Foxtel remained subdued and slowed over the past year as the News Corporation-controlled pay TV company posted an 8.5 per cent growth in earnings to $598 million.
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The number of people who signed up for Foxtel in the year to the end of June grew by 1.3 per cent to 1.68 million.

Revenue was up 4 per cent to $2.2 billion and profit before tax $258 million – up from about $200 million this time last year. It does not release a net profit number as its tax bill is shared by its three shareholders, News, Telstra and Consolidated Media Holdings.

The result does not include the $1.9 billion merger with Austar in May, which brings its combined subscriber base to 2.3 million.

The full impact of the Olympics on the business will not be known for another two months, the company said.

Foxtel was a joint bidder with Nine for the rights to broadcast the Olympics to Australian viewers.

It split the $120 million bill for the summer and winter games between itself and the free-to-air broadcaster and has put on eight dedicated channels for round-the-clock coverage.

”We will be evaluating that in the next two months. We have seen a tick-up in subscriber numbers. I won’t say it is huge, but it is certainly noticeable. We have also seen an increase in the number of people who are taking our sports pack, which is encouraging,” a Foxtel spokesman said.

Foxtel gave the Olympics channels free to its existing subscribers – 80 per cent of them now take its sports package. Its churn rate – the number of people who choose to cancel its service, has dropped below 13 per cent.

The company said the ongoing savings from the Austar merger, which includes staff, back-office functions, real estate and executive salaries would amount to $40 million a year but it declined to detail the one-off costs associated with the transaction.

This time last year subscriber numbers grew 2.5 per cent for the 12 months to the end of June 2011 and profits rose 26 per cent off the back of a 6 per cent lift in revenues.

Last week News Corporation, which is a 25 per cent shareholder, cleared a regulatory hurdle to double its stake when the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission said it would not ”lead to any substantial lessening of competition in any relevant market”.

News wants to buy the James Packer-controlled Consolidated Media, which also owns a quarter of Foxtel.Foxtel paid Telstra a $108 million dividend, a figure revealed in Telstra’s results.

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Competition, turbulence to keep bank costs ‘up for years’

Bank on it: There is a price to pay.TWO of the country’s biggest banks have warned that funding pressures will keep climbing for years to come, setting the scene for more disputes over their mortgage rate decisions.
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Despite bankers previously predicting funding costs would cool off from this year, ANZ and Westpac executives yesterday said there had been no let-up in offshore turbulence or competition for deposits.

Instead, banks would be forced to pay a premium to access funds overseas for another five years, the acting chief operating officer of Westpac’s financial services division, Jim Tate, said.

The predictions, which suggest banks are unlikely to pass on any further official interest rate cuts in full, were made before a Senate inquiry into how the global financial crisis has changed banking.

ANZ’s deputy chief, Graham Hodges, said the biggest pressure on its cost of funds was the fierce competition for deposits, which continued to heat up. Banks obtain about half their funding from deposits, but are looking to lift this to 60 per cent, forcing them to offer higher interest rates to savers.

The competition for funds, alongside jittery overseas markets, would continue pushing up the banks’ costs for the next two years, he said.

”The overall impact at this stage looks as though we’ve got another two years where costs will continue to rise step by step,” Mr Hodges said in Sydney.

Westpac’s Mr Tate told the inquiry there would be no let-up in overseas lenders’ demands that Australian banks pay extra for borrowed funds.

Big banks were paying 1.5 percentage points over the benchmark cost to access long-term capital markets, he said, compared with 0.25 percentage points before the 2008 financial crisis.

”You would think that under normal, ongoing, quite predictable growth, that spread would come in, but we’re not at that point and we’re a good five years away from being at that point,” Mr Tate said.

In 2010, Westpac chief executive Gail Kelly said her best guess was that funding costs would cool off from this year.

Commonwealth Bank group executive David Cohen also said the competition for deposits had made bank funding more sustainable. But the relatively high taxation of income earned from interest was limiting the role of deposit funding.

Mr Cohen also defended the bank against claims its $2 billion takeover of BankWest at the height of the financial crisis had harmed competition, saying the deal saved Australia from a financial shock.

While bank costs are rising, banks are no longer enjoying rapid credit growth that fuelled bumper profits before the global financial crisis.

The Reserve Bank’s assistant governor, Guy Debelle, said that after mortgage growth of almost 20 per cent early last decade, credit was more likely to expand at the pace of the broader economy.

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Thrift and slowing housing construction blow to Scali

Managing director of Nick Scali furniture Anthony Scali.FURNITURE retailer Nick Scali received a strong tailwind from the federal government’s recent carbon tax compensation payments, which boosted fourth-quarter sales, but hit weaker conditions in July and said it was unable to provide a profit forecast for the 2012-13 financial year.
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Managing director Anthony Scali said consumers continued to save rather than spend money. That, combined with a slowing Australian housing construction market, meant the retailer would need to depend on earnings growth from the stores it had opened over the past 18 months.

Nick Scali yesterday reported a 22.3 per cent fall in full-year net profit to $9.024 million, which was at the bottom end of a trading update provided in May. The weaker than expected result was due to a slump in its gross margin, down to 60.8 per cent from 62.7 per cent, as the retailer was forced to offer promotions and discounts during the year to drive traffic into its stores and generate sales orders.

Revenue for the period rose 9.4 per cent to $109.39 million, but more than $7 million in furniture orders were not included in the accounts and will show up in the 2012-13 result.

The company declared a final dividend of 3.5¢ a share, down from 4.5¢ in the previous corresponding period.

Mr Scali said a strong fourth-quarter order book was most likely the result of the compensation paid to households for the carbon tax. Orders in July were down, and the volatility of the past 12 months continued to affect operations, with directors unable to predict the company’s full-year results for 2013.

Shares in Nick Scali ended down 5¢, or 3.5 per cent, at $1.40.

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Tabcorp shares slump despite profit result

TABCORP shares slumped yesterday despite a solid full-year result as the market took issue with the company’s earnings outlook.
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Tabcorp reported a net profit of $340 million in the year to June 30, down from $534.8 million in 2010-11, but the prior year included earnings from the casino business, which was demerged in June last year.

Based on continuing operations the net profit was 12.7 per cent higher than the $301.6 million reported last year driven by strong earnings growth and lower interest expenses following the demerger.

But Tabcorp shares slumped as much as 5 per cent during trading yesterday after the company flagged higher costs and lower-than-expected earnings from Victorian wagering business.

The termination of Tabcorp’s poker machine licence in Victoria next week will leave it with $17 million of corporate and IT costs to be allocated across the continuing business and higher racefield product fees. Tabcorp also warned that the terms of its new wagering licence in Victoria are ”significantly different” to the current licence, which expires next week.

If the new licence had applied to the Victorian wagering business this year its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) would have been $150.2 million not the $229 million reported. ”The company has guided to pro forma wagering earnings of $150 million, which compares to our FY14 forecast of $190 million,” said Deutsche Bank analyst Mark Wilson.

The company was also keeping quiet on its plans to recover the $687 million it is owed in compensation as a result of its poker machine licence being cancelled next week.

Tabcorp chief executive David Attenborough said the company is ”looking at all options” but has not made a decision ahead of August 23 when the payment is due.

Tabcorp will lose its biggest profit engine with the loss of its pokie duopoly in Victoria but is looking to offset the loss with its new Keno licence in Victoria and the poker machine services business TGS.

The latter is on track to record underlying earnings of $55 million per annum based on the 8500 poker machines it has signed up.

In 2011-12, Tabcorp’s online wagering operations generated $2.16 billion in turnover, growing by 14.5 per cent compared to the prior year.

Fixed odds revenues were the highlight, growing by 41.5 per cent to $321.4 million. Totalisator revenues continued to decline as the market shifted to fixed odds betting where the profit margins are lower and Tabcorp faces strong competition from new entrants.

The company declared a final dividend of 11¢ a share full franked and said it targeted a dividend payout ratio of 80 per cent of net profit excluding the expected $47 million write-off of Victorian gaming goodwill in the current half year. Tabcorp shares closed 3.3 per cent lower, down 11¢, at $3.20.

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